Regional Centre

The Regional Centre lies at the heart of the Manchester City Region. It contains within it the largest concentration of office and retail accommodation in the region, three universities with the largest concentration of students in Europe, major hotels and entertainment, conference and exhibition venues. The number of people who live in the heart of the city centre is increasing – from just 900 in 1991 to 10,000 in 2005 – and is forecast to increase further to 19,000 in 2007.

Our grounds for continued optimism are well founded as the city’s growth path to becoming a global force in the knowledge economy is now clear, with our Manchester Knowledge Capital initiative expected to generate up to 100,000 new jobs in high value added sectors across Greater Manchester over the next ten years.

Accessibility is the key to the continued success of the Regional Centre. This LTP therefore puts considerable emphasis on ensuring that the transport system will be able to continue to deliver people to the centre in an efficient and effective way without significant growth in congestion levels. Our public transport led strategy has been developed with this objective at its core.

It is also vital to ensure that the Regional Centre remains an attractive place to visit and that its environment continues to improve. Managing the transport network effectively to ensure that road safety and air quality improves is a central objective of the two city councils.

We recognise that there are still problems to be dealt with in all the shared priority areas referred to in the previous two paragraphs. The main problems themselves are:

  • vehicle/pedestrian conflicts because of the high levels of activity
  • poor air quality because of the large numbers of motor vehicles

Our long term strategy has been to reduce the amount of vehicular traffic which is merely passing through the centre. We have been dealing with this incrementally for at least twenty years with much success. From the eighties and early nineties we have the pedestrianisation of most of Market Street, Albert Square and St Ann’s Square, and the traffic management arrangements which accompanied the introduction of Metrolink in 1992.

Subsequently following the IRA bomb explosion in 1996, we drew up a masterplan for the renewal and further development of the city centre. This included the creation of new public open spaces including Exchange Square and New Cathedral Street with accompanying major and specialist retailers.

During all this time, we were gradually completing the Manchester and Salford Inner Relief Route (M&SIRR) to provide a high quality route so that through traffic would largely avoid the centre itself.

More recently, in January 2006, we have closed sections of Cross Street and Corporation Street to all vehicles except for Metroshuttle buses between 11.00 am and 7.00 pm. We have also been installing ‘all red’ phases at key junctions to provide more priority for pedestrians.

Much has been done, but some problems remain, albeit at a lower level than in the past. As the M&SIRR and the pedestrianisation measures have been completed, so the through routeing has reduced substantially. But we recognise that the safety record in the centre remains unsatisfactory, and there is still scope to improve the the total environment for visitors. During the LTP2 period we intend to deal further with these issues. The key is continued improvement in the level of public transport provision to the Regional Centre .We need to ensure that even more through traffic is discouraged from passing through the centre, and that almost all traffic is accessing the centre to take advantage of its wide-ranging first class facilities in all aspects of business and entertainment. We intend to extend our priorities for pedestrians, so that the centre is a safer, less noisy, healthier and altogether more attractive place for its large number of diverse visitors. Details of our proposals are provided in Section 5.3.

Policy

Desired Changes in Modal Split for the Regional Centre

Targets

There are three mutually compatible targets concerning trips into the Regional Centre: LTP6 am peak traffic into the regional centre, LTP12a modal split of am peak trips into the regional centre, and Manchester City Council's PSA target for 2008/09. The LTP indicators continue to use the methodology we used in LTP1 period, because it is cost-effective and provides continuity in the data both over time and between regional and other key centres. The PSA indicator methodology differs from the LTP indicators as there have been a greater frequency of surveys, slightly more survey stations have been used, and a more accurate method of establishing bus patronage employed. This PSA method is the basis of the figures given below.

Baseline Position

The baseline setting out how people currently travel across the city centre cordon is being established through comprehensive surveys carried out under the direction of the Greater Manchester Transportation Unit in September and November 2005, and due for completion in May 2006. The surveys were conducted on representative days (ie not in school or university holidays) at a cordon on the inside of the inner relief route.  The surveys were carried out in accordance with the survey methodology agreed with Department for Transport for the purposes of monitoring the Manchester City Council’s Public Service Agreement target for the period 2005/6 to 2008/9.

Table 2 2005 Modal Split Weekdays Between 7:30 and 9:30 am
Mode

Number of Person Trips

%

Car 

31,200

35

Bus

25,100

28

Rail

18,000

20

Metrolink

6,300

7

Walking

7,600

8

Cycling

800

1

All non–car

58,000

65

TOTAL

89,000

100

2011 Projection

Our estimate is that by 2011 there will have been an increase in 12% in the number of people employed in the city centre. This represents a net gain of 17000 jobs on the current base figure of 134 000. Based on our baseline survey every three city centre jobs generate two daily peak period trips across the cordon. We therefore project that given employment growth of 17,000 by 2011, there will be an increase of 11,000 trips (bringing the total to around 100,000 trips) crossing the cordon between 7.30 and 9.30 am by the end of the LTP period. Our assessment of how we intend to meet this demand, while at the same time limiting the growth in car trips to the heart of the city centre, is set out below. Overall we are setting a target for increasing the proportion of non-car modes from the current figure of 65% to 69% by the end of LTP2 in order to accommodate this growth. The estimated mode split shown below correspond with outputs from our Strategy Planning Model and is consistent with modal split targets:

Table 3 2011 Projected Modal Split
Mode

Number of Person Trips

%

Car 

31,300

31

Bus

28,400

28

Rail

21,600

22

Metrolink

8,500

9

Walking

9,000

9

Cycling

1,200

1

All non–car

68,700

69

TOTAL

100,000

100

 

Notes

  1. Figures rounded to nearest 100 and percentage point.

  2. Bus patronage in the peak hour to the city centre is projected to rise by around 13%, significantly higher than the average for greater Manchester as a whole, but this difference is consistent with past trends.

  3. Rail patronage is forecast to grow at the same rate as in the last 3.5 years an increase of around 600 daily peak period trips each year.

  4. The rise in Metrolink patronage is consistent with the capacity increases on phases 1 and 2 which are due to be delivered towards the end of the LTP 2 period.

  5. Growth of 50% in the number of cycling trips and 18% in the number of walking trips is assumed, reflecting higher levels of development on the edge of the city centre and the impact of measures to encourage greater use of these modes for shorter journeys.

  6. The number of car trips is expected to remain roughly constant due the continued capacity constraints on long stay car parking in the heart of the city centre and greater utilisation of the inner relief road and other alternative routes for through trips.

  7. The employment projection has been provided by the Oxford Economic Forecasting model and is consistent with the level of economic growth assumed in the Greater Manchester Economic Development Plan, the City Region Development Programme and the Greater Manchester Implementation Plan.

Note that targets LTP6 (am peak traffic into the regional centre) and LTP12a (am peak modal split into the regional centre) use a different survey method from the PSA method described above, particularly regarding the collection of bus patronage data. This is to maintain consistency with previous surveys undertaken since 1997, in order to maintain a continuous dataset. In consequence, the two survey methods give slightly different, but compatible, results.

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